Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.382066 0.417762 0.455849 0.499602 0.548588 0.601869 0.664375
2025-11-30 0.324623 0.374799 0.432026 0.502519 0.587561 0.687523 0.814922
2025-12-07 0.286334 0.342525 0.409485 0.495934 0.605716 0.741999 0.926390
2025-12-14 0.258561 0.318005 0.391335 0.489637 0.619791 0.788832 1.029383
2025-12-21 0.232667 0.292599 0.368625 0.473721 0.617762 0.812072 1.100756
2025-12-28 0.220551 0.283355 0.365201 0.481787 0.647122 0.878784 1.238360
2026-01-04 0.209529 0.274361 0.360909 0.487577 0.672893 0.941820 1.376741
2026-01-11 0.199049 0.265113 0.355240 0.490428 0.693941 0.999045 1.511914
2026-01-18 0.189462 0.256291 0.349289 0.491988 0.712603 1.053641 1.648453
2026-01-25 0.181739 0.249486 0.345557 0.496216 0.735214 1.115899 1.804549
2026-02-01 0.170913 0.237475 0.333348 0.486436 0.734577 1.139952 1.896503
2026-02-08 0.164407 0.231362 0.329401 0.488988 0.753712 1.198175 2.056490
2026-02-15 0.156545 0.222894 0.321531 0.484988 0.762060 1.239434 2.191871
2026-02-22 0.150857 0.217391 0.317860 0.487462 0.781510 1.302098 2.377457
2026-03-01 0.143630 0.209100 0.309289 0.481124 0.784904 1.335619 2.508559
2026-03-08 0.137044 0.201447 0.301258 0.475055 0.788106 1.368783 2.643089
2026-03-15 0.128999 0.191099 0.288327 0.459713 0.773161 1.365604 2.698329
2026-03-22 0.126248 0.189036 0.288733 0.467489 0.801448 1.449583 2.959853
2026-03-29 0.123235 0.186378 0.287969 0.473069 0.825938 1.528339 3.221869
2026-04-05 0.119875 0.182977 0.285749 0.475817 0.845076 1.597891 3.473096
2026-04-12 0.116497 0.179377 0.282978 0.477321 0.861788 1.663908 3.726489
2026-04-19 0.113762 0.176715 0.281660 0.481395 0.883934 1.744021 4.030354
2026-04-26 0.108929 0.170299 0.273485 0.471969 0.877510 1.759499 4.163252